MetaSPN State / rollup-backed public receipt

The network is quieter in volume, hotter in replies.

This snapshot is generated from VPS rollup tables over 14,318,370 captured tweets and 477,935 author IDs. The latest day is partial; the useful signal is not volume. It is reply-density and new edge formation.

Daily-rollup heat
0.80
Average of volume and reply-density ratios vs baseline.
Volume
0.71×
Recent observed days vs baseline. Quieter.
Reply density
0.88×
Replies remain elevated. The fire is in directed edges.
First-seen edges
100
Recent new relationship edges sampled from rollups.
Daily pulse

Rollup-backed trend

DateTweetsRepliesReply rateReflection
2026-07-179,9841,18911.9%669.67
2026-07-187,8286348.1%939.86
2026-07-198,1967939.7%1344.36
2026-07-209,27193510.1%944.93
2026-07-218,8657798.8%772.76
2026-07-228,58092510.8%858.60
2026-07-237,9567659.6%309.05
2026-07-242,22952523.6%232.68
Reading
The first ad hoc snapshot said “conversation, not broadcast.” The rollups keep that shape: volume is below baseline, but reply density is above it. Latest-day partial data makes the heat index conservative. A dashboard that pretends partial days are complete is how metrics become decorative fog.
Hottest pairs — week
  • id:70770083->id:1275841423
  • liquidprismata->id:1961767715
  • zencephalon->tasshinfogleman14
  • QiaochuYuan->id:1549539213
  • aliceisplaying->id:1891132612
  • id:18911326->aliceisplaying12
  • tasshinfogleman->zencephalon12
  • QiaochuYuan->RichDecibels11
  • Lari_island->repligate11
  • janbamjan->voooooogel11
  • QiaochuYuan->visakanv10
  • QiaochuYuan->id:5002038110
  • aliceisplaying->m_ashcroft10
  • anthrupad->id:1252277510
  • pachabelcanon->nosilverv10
  • janbamjan->id:1763797510
  • forthrighter->nosilverv9
  • id:13464077->id:101231999
  • QiaochuYuan->nosilverv8
  • QiaochuYuan->id:159988238
  • danielbrottman->tasshinfogleman8
  • id:14859788->nosilverv8
  • sevensix43->id:167114858
  • AskYatharth->id:154953928
Mutual relationships — week
  • tasshinfogleman ↔ zencephalon26
  • id:12758414 ↔ id:7077008324
  • aliceisplaying ↔ id:1891132624
  • aliceisplaying ↔ m_ashcroft18
  • QiaochuYuan ↔ visakanv17
  • QiaochuYuan ↔ RichDecibels17
  • nosilverv ↔ pachabelcanon16
  • voooooogel ↔ janbamjan15
  • repligate ↔ Lari_island14
  • QiaochuYuan ↔ danielbrottman13
  • leo_guinan ↔ mykola13
  • QiaochuYuan ↔ nosilverv12
  • danielbrottman ↔ tasshinfogleman12
  • nosilverv ↔ forthrighter12
  • QiaochuYuan ↔ id:5002038111
  • nosilverv ↔ cxgonzalez11
  • Prigoose ↔ RichDecibels11
  • Prigoose ↔ id:7077008311
New edges — recent
  • id:21812706->id:328915332026-07-24
  • chrislakin->id:190322892026-07-24
  • AlexKrusz->id:172593302026-07-24
  • id:30437919->id:358545912026-07-24
  • id:17146196->id:707700832026-07-24
  • id:70770083->id:200248122026-07-24
  • id:96170582->id:122112252026-07-24
  • id:70770083->id:171461962026-07-24
  • id:15341480->id:331520512026-07-24
  • danallison->id:142485142026-07-24
  • janbamjan->id:157843622026-07-24
  • id:19394784->id:136204982026-07-24
  • lu_sichu->id:191000842026-07-24
  • id:31753124->id:178678382026-07-24
  • id:12450814->id:450679542026-07-24
  • id:14859788->id:736113702026-07-24
  • leo_guinan->id:977003802026-07-24
  • NunoSempere->id:333209112026-07-24
Most active accounts — week
AccountTweetsReflectionInboundOutbound
@id:707700831,39913.6227115
@id:180813341,09015.261351
@goblinodds1,08220.74733
@lu_sichu1,027158.382543
@Ken67547214845126.22121
@DanielleFong729306.75924
@leo_guinan6641.2121101
@aliceisplaying637337.7830158
@nosilverv56948.23183188
@liquidprismata56819.298123
@QiaochuYuan53654.5994224
@repligate393156.335641
@id:1684958436846.79550
@id:172673133505.46123
@mykola347422.452357
@id:134640773042.131634
@id:70300335289528.9255
@NathanpmYoung28381.691330
@id:16847984281152.91713
@michelleakin2808.131034
Method and caveats

Source: arc-vps:/root/twitter-energy/cohort.sqlite rollup tables. Grain: daily rollups; latest day may be partial. Public Community Archive / captured tweet data only. Not all of X/Twitter. Recent engagement is a lower bound. Unresolved author IDs appear as numeric prefixes. This page is a state receipt, not a growth prophecy. The latter is how people end up with OKRs and no friends.

Machine receipt
{
 "generated_at": "2026-07-24T20:55:11.743845+00:00",
 "source": "arc-vps:/root/twitter-energy/cohort.sqlite rollup tables",
 "grain": "daily rollups; latest day may be partial",
 "max_day": "2026-07-24",
 "window": {
  "week_start": "2026-07-17",
  "two_day_start": "2026-07-22",
  "baseline_start": "2026-06-24",
  "baseline_days": 28
 },
 "heat_index": 0.8,
 "volume_vs_baseline": 0.71,
 "reply_density_vs_baseline": 0.88,
 "tweets_recent": 18765,
 "replies_recent": 2215,
 "daily": [
  {
   "day": "2026-07-17",
   "tweets": 9984,
   "replies": 1189,
   "energy_in": 13011.764285714286,
   "energy_out": 8713589.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.1191
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-18",
   "tweets": 7828,
   "replies": 634,
   "energy_in": 10281.375,
   "energy_out": 9663046.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.081
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-19",
   "tweets": 8196,
   "replies": 793,
   "energy_in": 10734.217857142858,
   "energy_out": 14430644.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.0968
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-20",
   "tweets": 9271,
   "replies": 935,
   "energy_in": 12292.367857142857,
   "energy_out": 11615475.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.1009
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-21",
   "tweets": 8865,
   "replies": 779,
   "energy_in": 11552.421428571428,
   "energy_out": 8927276.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.0879
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-22",
   "tweets": 8580,
   "replies": 925,
   "energy_in": 11339.685714285713,
   "energy_out": 9736253.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.1078
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-23",
   "tweets": 7956,
   "replies": 765,
   "energy_in": 10435.207142857143,
   "energy_out": 3225008.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.0962
  },
  {
   "day": "2026-07-24",
   "tweets": 2229,
   "replies": 525,
   "energy_in": 2732.739285714286,
   "energy_out": 635857.0,
   "reply_rate": 0.2355
  }
 ],
 "pairs_week": [
  {
   "src": "id:70770083",
   "dst": "id:12758414",
   "pair": "id:70770083->id:12758414",
   "n": 23,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T23:53:17+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T19:20:05+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "liquidprismata",
   "dst": "id:19617677",
   "pair": "liquidprismata->id:19617677",
   "n": 15,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T06:36:49+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T17:31:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "zencephalon",
   "dst": "tasshinfogleman",
   "pair": "zencephalon->tasshinfogleman",
   "n": 14,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T00:55:20+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T18:48:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "id:15495392",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->id:15495392",
   "n": 13,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T17:46:06+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T21:37:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "aliceisplaying",
   "dst": "id:18911326",
   "pair": "aliceisplaying->id:18911326",
   "n": 12,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T09:23:47+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T13:50:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:18911326",
   "dst": "aliceisplaying",
   "pair": "id:18911326->aliceisplaying",
   "n": 12,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T08:34:14+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T13:52:15+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "tasshinfogleman",
   "dst": "zencephalon",
   "pair": "tasshinfogleman->zencephalon",
   "n": 12,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T01:06:20+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T18:49:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "RichDecibels",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->RichDecibels",
   "n": 11,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T15:01:36+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T21:36:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "Lari_island",
   "dst": "repligate",
   "pair": "Lari_island->repligate",
   "n": 11,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T13:13:15+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T21:38:02+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "janbamjan",
   "dst": "voooooogel",
   "pair": "janbamjan->voooooogel",
   "n": 11,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T09:44:45+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T06:12:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "visakanv",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->visakanv",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T03:32:42+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T23:40:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "id:50020381",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->id:50020381",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T20:41:03+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T03:24:39+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "aliceisplaying",
   "dst": "m_ashcroft",
   "pair": "aliceisplaying->m_ashcroft",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T07:47:04+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T13:56:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "anthrupad",
   "dst": "id:12522775",
   "pair": "anthrupad->id:12522775",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-21T09:26:36+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-21T10:37:43+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "pachabelcanon",
   "dst": "nosilverv",
   "pair": "pachabelcanon->nosilverv",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T13:29:45+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T11:39:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "janbamjan",
   "dst": "id:17637975",
   "pair": "janbamjan->id:17637975",
   "n": 10,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T06:48:41+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T07:08:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "forthrighter",
   "dst": "nosilverv",
   "pair": "forthrighter->nosilverv",
   "n": 9,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T12:25:56+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T14:36:52+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:13464077",
   "dst": "id:10123199",
   "pair": "id:13464077->id:10123199",
   "n": 9,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T09:11:27+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T20:03:14+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "nosilverv",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->nosilverv",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T15:04:06+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T19:21:11+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "id:15998823",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->id:15998823",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T01:33:09+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T17:52:37+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "danielbrottman",
   "dst": "tasshinfogleman",
   "pair": "danielbrottman->tasshinfogleman",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T12:54:38+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T18:11:18+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:14859788",
   "dst": "nosilverv",
   "pair": "id:14859788->nosilverv",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T12:00:38+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T13:28:26+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "sevensix43",
   "dst": "id:16711485",
   "pair": "sevensix43->id:16711485",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T07:04:04+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T02:51:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "AskYatharth",
   "dst": "id:15495392",
   "pair": "AskYatharth->id:15495392",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-20T21:18:54+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T15:58:44+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "tasshinfogleman",
   "dst": "Prigoose",
   "pair": "tasshinfogleman->Prigoose",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T02:20:48+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-20T17:26:36+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "m_ashcroft",
   "dst": "aliceisplaying",
   "pair": "m_ashcroft->aliceisplaying",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T07:53:03+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T13:29:27+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "liquidprismata",
   "dst": "id:11930187",
   "pair": "liquidprismata->id:11930187",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T04:37:54+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T16:06:06+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "RichDecibels",
   "dst": "Prigoose",
   "pair": "RichDecibels->Prigoose",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T20:07:12+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T20:03:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:70770083",
   "dst": "id:15495392",
   "pair": "id:70770083->id:15495392",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T23:06:17+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T23:02:42+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:70770083",
   "dst": "Prigoose",
   "pair": "id:70770083->Prigoose",
   "n": 8,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T11:18:24+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T12:15:56+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "danielbrottman",
   "dst": "QiaochuYuan",
   "pair": "danielbrottman->QiaochuYuan",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T03:13:04+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T23:32:32+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "NathanpmYoung",
   "dst": "id:90865448",
   "pair": "NathanpmYoung->id:90865448",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T01:33:03+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-17T03:37:57+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "leo_guinan",
   "dst": "mykola",
   "pair": "leo_guinan->mykola",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T13:11:21+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T12:41:49+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "visakanv",
   "dst": "QiaochuYuan",
   "pair": "visakanv->QiaochuYuan",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T03:30:45+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T13:51:45+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "RichDecibels",
   "dst": "id:15495392",
   "pair": "RichDecibels->id:15495392",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T08:26:22+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T15:41:53+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "connerdelights",
   "dst": "m_ashcroft",
   "pair": "connerdelights->m_ashcroft",
   "n": 7,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T21:26:05+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-21T17:05:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "QiaochuYuan",
   "dst": "danielbrottman",
   "pair": "QiaochuYuan->danielbrottman",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T03:17:10+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T23:25:35+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "nosilverv",
   "dst": "pachabelcanon",
   "pair": "nosilverv->pachabelcanon",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-19T11:19:28+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T11:05:47+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "nosilverv",
   "dst": "cxgonzalez",
   "pair": "nosilverv->cxgonzalez",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T05:41:18+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-19T07:20:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "aliceisplaying",
   "dst": "id:17706608",
   "pair": "aliceisplaying->id:17706608",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-20T21:24:18+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-20T22:07:10+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "Paul_Melman",
   "dst": "id:48865188",
   "pair": "Paul_Melman->id:48865188",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-23T14:15:18+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T14:22:08+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "sevensix43",
   "dst": "lu_sichu",
   "pair": "sevensix43->lu_sichu",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-22T00:32:57+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T19:42:51+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "sevensix43",
   "dst": "id:92030804",
   "pair": "sevensix43->id:92030804",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T02:24:42+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T06:03:40+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "univrsw3th4rt",
   "dst": "RichDecibels",
   "pair": "univrsw3th4rt->RichDecibels",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T17:16:44+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T17:29:32+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "id:18081334",
   "dst": "RichDecibels",
   "pair": "id:18081334->RichDecibels",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T13:03:24+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-22T21:58:23+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "m_ashcroft",
   "dst": "id:15495392",
   "pair": "m_ashcroft->id:15495392",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-17T15:07:24+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-23T12:46:24+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "m_ashcroft",
   "dst": "visakanv",
   "pair": "m_ashcroft->visakanv",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-18T11:27:15+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-20T08:43:07+00:00"
  },
  {
   "src": "voooooogel",
   "dst": "lu_sichu",
   "pair": "voooooogel->lu_sichu",
   "n": 6,
   "first_at": "2026-07-20T21:34:27+00:00",
   "last_at": "2026-07-24T05:20:40+00:00"
  },
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  {
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  {
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  {
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   "pair": "id:38190233->id:31273702",
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  },
  {
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   "dst": "id:18812738",
   "pair": "nosilverv->id:18812738",
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 ],
 "rollup_receipt": {
  "built_at": "2026-07-24 20:54:01",
  "source_min_created_at": "2002-02-04T17:47:12+00:00",
  "source_max_created_at": "2026-07-24T19:58:10+00:00",
  "source_tweets": "14318370",
  "author_accounts": "477935",
  "account_day_rows": "3918004",
  "account_month_rows": "1365659",
  "edge_day_rows": "4405795",
  "edge_first_seen_rows": "2120625"
 },
 "caveats": [
  "Public Community Archive / captured tweet data only; not all of X/Twitter.",
  "Engagement counts can lag live platform capture time; reflection is a lower bound for recent posts.",
  "Many author IDs from live captures are unresolved to handles; unresolved accounts are displayed as id:<prefix>.",
  "Heat is computed from daily rollups, not exact rolling-hour windows."
 ]
}